NOV 01, 2024
Last week I wrote about what I think the results of the election will be. This week I’m going to lay out different scenarios that I believe are possible in the months following the election. But first I want to update my Best Case prediction for Trump.
As a political scientist, I have never seen as much enthusiasm for a political candidate as I see now for Trump. I think all of the (unprecedented and bullshit) lawfare waged against him, the assassination attempts and years of demonization have (ironically) made him much more popular than he otherwise would have been. The American people like to cheer for an underdog and don’t like to see someone bullied unfairly. Many Trump supporters embrace his status as a convicted felon by displaying “Felon/Hillbilly 2024” signs in their yard.
He has also assembled the broadest and most diverse coalition in modern political history: union and blue collar workers, billionaires, blacks, Hispanics, Christians, Jews, Muslims and Arabs, young people, peace activists, health enthusiasts, libertarians, free speech advocates, cryptocurrency users, former Democrats, etc. By contrast, Kamala has the Cheneys and the rest of the military-intelligence-industrial complex.
I thought Trump’s impressive and historic rally at Madison Square Garden in the heart of a deep blue city was the final nail in Kamala’s coffin, but then Joseph Robinette referred to Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” which was not helpful for Kam at a time that Trump and Vance have been calling for unity and reconciliation. As Dale Carnegie would say, how do you win friends and influence people (including voters)? By calling them “garbage,” duh! In a brilliant response, Trump rode along in a garbage truck in Wisconsin, a followup to his hilarious stint working at McDonald’s.
A few points. First, one of the reasons people like Trump is because he makes them laugh. Historically, Leftists have had no sense of humor. Constantly trying to force people to do things is not conducive to having fun and being of good cheer. Despite all of the talk about Joy, it’s Trump supporters who are joyous. Second, the “garbage” slur is just the latest in a long string of insults that statist politicians have hurled at Trump supporters for years. Barry Soetoro said they were bitter, clinging to their guns or religion. Hillary called them deplorables, Kamala dubbed them fascists. This laziness and lack of curiosity and empathy explains why Democrats have to cheat to win elections. Perhaps the proles are (rightfully) upset by how these politicians’ policies have wrecked their lives? Trump also sat for a three hour interview on the very popular Joe Rogan podcast. Kamala was also invited but turned it down, like she did with the de rigueur Al Smith dinner. Rogan interviewed J.D. Vance today.
In recent weeks, the Legacy Media have bent over backwards in an attempt to salvage Kamala’s campaign. After “60 Minutes” aired a heavily edited and deceitful interview with her, the hard-nosed journalists at “The View” asked her if she would have done anything differently from Biden during the last four years and she replied, “There is not a thing that comes to mind….” Wow. Surely there is something he did during that time that she disagreed with? They gave her the perfect opportunity to put some much-needed distance between her and Biden, and she blew it.
I think for many Democrats and voters, this was the final straw. In recent days and weeks, I’ve noticed a number of leftist journalists distancing themselves from her like rats on a sinking ship in an effort to salvage the one small shred of credibility they have left.
It’s no surprise, then, that Trump has opened up a shockingly large lead in less than a month and is now widely expected to win. In the final days of the campaign, Trump is going on offense by campaigning in Virginia and New Mexico.
Consequently, I have updated my Best Case electoral map for Trump, as (barring widespread voter fraud), I now believe this election will be a blowout. I know I’m going out on a limb by calling Walz’s Minnesota for Trump, but Walz has now been exposed for who he really is. Remember, in 2016 Trump was down by 17 points in the polls in Wisconsin but still won the state.